Sunday, May 24, 2009

The truth about Buy and sell signals

Some One Asked a Question.......
If I get all my buy and sell signals to work properly, I should come out a winner, right?

Wrong! The perennial questions are, "Should I buy? Should I sell?" All too many traders focus their efforts on identifying buy and sell signals. In fact, that’s what most trading books consist of-some way to find buy and sell signals. Trading systems are usually all about "where to get in."

The research and analysis traders do is geared towards reaching the goal of getting that magic "base line" directive to guide their actions. How ignorant can you be?

Any successful, experienced trader will tell you that although properly identifying buy/sell signals is important, it’s not the key to being successful. Instead, the way you manage each trade is what will determine your success.

Traders who take the baseline approach tend to believe that the success of their trading activity is dependent on following the right buy/sell signals at the right time. Clearly, it’s important that a trader be able to understand the process of generating signals and to use the methods involved. Realistically though, almost any trader can find a way to generate signals (whether using technical methods already out there, coming up with their own system, or using their platform’s automated signal generation tools).

Any successful, experienced trader will tell you that your trade doesn’t begin and end with a buy or sell. There’s a trade management process involved. For each trade you make, you’re making a group of decisions. The way you manage and time those decisions is what will determine the success of your trade.

Let’ say two traders get the same signal at the same time and act on it. One’s trade may result in profits while the other’s results in losses. How is this possible? It can occur because each trader made a different combination of decisions throughout the course of the trade. The decisions might include scaling in and/or out of the trade, using or not using trailing stop losses, setting or not setting profit objectives prior to entry, patience or lack thereof, etc. The trader who made the most effective overall combination of decisions will have the better trade results in the end. Of course, there are times when pure chance, gives the better result to the worst trader.

It’s very important to regard trading as a process, and to understand that as a trader your efforts need to be focused on the activity of trading itself, as opposed to getting a quick base line answer. Because there are many things to take into consideration in making your trades successful, it’s essential that you educate and train yourself in all the different areas. Learn how to develop better trading plans and analysis methods, and then learn how to apply what you’ve developed to the process of a making a trade-from the original impulse to enter or stay out of a trade to the control of your thought processes and emotions in managing that trade.

Forex Fundamental Analysis

The two primary approaches of analyzing Forex markets are technical analysis and fundamental analysis. Fundamental analysis comprises the examination of economic indicators, asset markets and political considerations when evaluating a nation’s currency in terms of another. The focus of fundamental analysis lies on the economic, social and political forces that drive supply and demand. There is no single set of beliefs that guide forex fundamental analysis, yet most fundamental analysts look at various macroeconomic indicators such as economic growth rates, interest rates, inflation, and unemployment.



Here we look at some of the major Forex fundamental factors that play a role in the movement of a currency:

Economic Indicators

Economic indicators are reports released by the government or a private organization that detail a country’s economic performance. These economic indicators can be released on a weekly basis, but the more common report is monthly. Indicators are based around a number of economical situations, of which the two primary factors are that of International trade and Interest. Subsidiary factors also include Consumer Price Index (CPI), Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), Durable goods orders, retail sales and Producer Price Index (PPI).

Currency’s Interest Rates

One of the major indicator factors, Interest rates, are a key economic function of any nation. Generally, when a country raises its interest rates, the country’s currency will strengthen in relation to other currencies as assets are shifted to gain a higher return. Interest rates hikes, however, are usually not good news for stock markets. This is due to the fact that many investors will withdraw money from a country’s stock market when there is a hike of interest rates.

International Trade

The trade balance portrays the net difference (over a period of time) between the imports and exports of a nation. A trade deficit can be an economic disaster for a government and a currency. A deficit may appear when a country is importing more than it is exporting, meaning that more money is leaving and less is coming in. In some ways, however, a trade deficit in and of itself is not necessarily a bad thing. A deficit is only negative if the deficit is greater than market expectations and therefore will trigger a negative price movement.

Monday, May 18, 2009

Forex Trading Strategy

If you are looking for a unique, easy to use and effective forex trading method then the Forex Trading Strategy is for you. What I like most about it is that it’s reliable and consistent… even in the most volatile of markets.

Designed for the individual trader to use, this forex trading manual goes into intimate detail about every aspect of what you need to do to earn maximum pips. Not only that but it doesn’t require that you buy any extra products or software to trade using the system. This saves your money for what it should be used for, leveraging into profits on the forex market.

No matter what you current level of trading is, be it about to begin or seasoned pro, the Forex Trading Strategy will have you picking better points to enter and exit the market than ever before. After all, that’s all that really counts when it comes to earning you money. The strategy is all about secure leverage. Let me explain that a little more…

To rapidly grow your investment in the forex market you need to be able to quickly leverage your existing money. Not only do you need to be able to leverage it, but you need to be able to do it in a way that’s secure and wont lose you money, right? That’s where this system is so powerful, it protects your trading capital in a way that the probability of losing capital is almost non-existent!

That’s what first caught my attention about the Forex Trading Strategy, the elimination of risk. There’s a lot of ways to tell entry and exit points, but if you can’t do it safely there’s way to much risk involved with it. Well not using this system.

Because this strategy is so proven, not only will it eliminate your trading risk but it will repeatedly produce for you a series of profitable entry and exit points in a virtually unending run of currency movements that you can follow. This is all designed to give you maximum pips as a result of your trading.

Because the expert team that put together the Forex Trading Strategy is so confident in the results you’ll get they are even able to give you a no-questions asked refund policy that simply stakes that if for any reason you decide their strategy is not working for you, just let them know and they’ll refund 100% of your money. They can only do this because of their confidence in the system that’s used by thousands of forex traders every day and every night (hey the market never closes!).

I give Forex Trading Strategy a B+ rating because it cuts through the fat by not having to discuss economic issues and unrelated information. It just gives you the hard hitting know-how to pick good entry and exit points safely and securely.

Sunday, May 17, 2009

Why Forex Trading is an Ideal Home Business

Forex trading should be considered by anyone looking to start their own home based business. In this article, we will define Forex trading; explain its advantages over other business opportunities and discuss some pitfalls to avoid.

What is Forex trading?

"Forex" is short for "foreign exchange", and refers to the trading of monetary currencies.

Many people don't realize that currencies are traded, similar to stock trading. Since the value of each nation's currency is constantly fluctuating in relationship to other currencies, there are opportunities for you to profit.

Advantages of Forex trading as a home-based business.

There are several advantages of Forex trading including:

- You can adapt your participation to your own schedule

The Forex market is open for trading 24 hours per day, Monday through Friday, unlike the stock market or any other business in which you must work around "business hours". With Forex trading, you can work in the middle of the night if you want.

- Large marketplace

Forex trading is the largest marketplace in the world. It shadows all other markets, even the stock market. That means there is opportunity for anyone to participate. The daily trading volume is nearly 4 trillion dollars!

- Low barrier to entry

It takes less than $100 to get started Forex trading. If you can scrape together that amount of cash, even if it takes a garage sale or selling some of your extra stuff on eBay or Craigslist, you can jump into Forex trading.

Some pitfalls to watch out for.

Be aware of these potential problems if you decide to enter the Forex market:

- Investing decisions based on emotion rather than logic

As with any type of investing, it's very easy to get caught up in the prospect of making big money. Place some limits on yourself so that you don't use money you need for living expenses.

- Investing without a solid knowledge of the playing field

No serious athlete would step out onto the baseball diamond or basketball court without thoroughly understanding the "rules of the game", and neither should you venture into any type of investing without the same level of understanding.

- Trading too frequently

Although there are no "commissions" when trading Forex, you will be responsible to pay the "spread", which is the variance between the ask price and the bid price. If you do very many trades, these "spreads" can really add up. Just make sure you understand the cost of your trades before you make them.

Conclusion

Forex can be an ideal avenue for you to make extra money, or even as a foundation for a home-based business. It is wide open for anyone: you don't need to have any specific credentials or background. Why not take a share of this market today?

Forex Trading Information

FOREX — the foreign exchange (currency or forex, or FX) market is the and the most liquid financial market with the daily volume of more than $3.2 trillion. Trading on this market involves buying and selling world currencies taking the profit from the exchange rates difference. Forex trading can yield high profits, but it is also very risky. Everyone can participate in Forex trading via the Forex brokers.

Don’t forget to check and bookmark my Forex blog to get the latest updates about Forex market and this site’s content. You can also join a friendly Forex traders community at the Forex Forum.

Travel Money: Our Money Saving Tips

More and more of us are paying high prices to change our hard-earned cash into foreign currency at the last minute - but you don't have to pay the price at the bureau. This article will help you make the most of your money and will show you the cheapest ways to splash the cash abroad by examining foreign currency, plastic (credit cards and prepaid cards) and travellers cheques

To skip directly to a particular part of this article use the quick links:

  • Currency conversions
  • Cheque mate
  • Give me credit
  • The new plastic power
  • Card users beware: dynamic currency conversion
  • Moneysupermarket.com recommends...

Currency conversions

So has foreign currency been surpassed in favour of cards? The answer is generally, yes. If you have the right card you will almost certainly save money when compared to exchanging your Sterling for foreign currency. However, for some, any forms of cards, whether it is a credit card with charges or the new breed of prepaid cards, are off-putting and of course the wrong card can carry risks. Cash is also the easiest to use but, at the same time, is the easiest to lose or have stolen so don't take more than your travel insurance covers. In those cases, exchanging money is probably right for you – but still make sure you're getting the best deal.

Don't assume that a sign saying 'commission free' automatically means you're going to get a great rate. In actual fact you should be very wary of 'commission free' offers because the chances are that you will be offered a worse exchange rate than the bureau itself receives, allowing them to make profit that way. The only way to tell is to ask how many euros/dollars, etc, you will get in exchange for your pounds. Simple as that!

Some companies don't have commission charges – so if their exchange rate is competitive they are worth a look. However, don't rule out those that do charge commission, as their rates can still be more competitive.

Be wary however, of flat fees and minimum charges. Minimum charges make it difficult to change small amounts of money but flat fees can offer good value if you are changing larger sums of money. Watch out for handling fees too, which are normally about £3 but can be higher. Also consider your own bank or building society as they might have preferential rates for their account holders.

On the moneysupermarket.com forum we're often asked about who offers the best rates. As rates change constantly that's almost impossible to answer, and there's no one bureau that is consistently ahead of the rest.

Cheque Mate

Option two is the trusty travellers cheque, which is certainly one of the most secure methods of carrying your money abroad. Indeed that’s the overriding advantage of travellers cheques because as long as you make a note of the cheque number or make a photocopy (and don't lose that too!) you can travel with peace of mind.

The downside however, is that they're not always the cheapest way to carry your money abroad. In fact expenses can mount up as you are usually charged commission when you buy Sterling cheques and an exchange rate is applied when you exchange them into local currency. Once again, shopping around for the best deal becomes crucial.

With foreign currency travellers cheques those who think ahead, get ahead. Keep an eye on the exchange rate and look to transfer funds potentially well ahead of time. If you find a good rate, capitalise on it – and if you think the rate is going to drop further then why not play safe and change half your money? Also look out for good deals. Some providers may offer free commission, especially for students.

Deals that don't charge commission won't automatically be the best deals – you have to check their exchange rate and make sure it is competitive. Also be aware that when cashing in cheques abroad you are likely to face an additional charge (normally an extra couple of pounds) – so try and take your cheques in larger amounts, as it will cost the same to cash-in £100 as it will cost to cash-in £10.

As with foreign currency, exchange rates for foreign currency travellers cheques constantly change so shop around and take a thorough look at the market before deciding on the right option for you.

Give me credit

A lot of providers will have special travel credit cards purposefully targeting the frequent flyer with points and other loyalty rewards. Of course these bonuses are great but the fees and the interest rate should always be your first consideration if you intend to use your card abroad and also if you plan to borrow. With that in mind it's often a good idea to have a credit card just for using when overseas – and that can be paid off in full each month.

If you have a credit card then watch out for immediate interest charges, particularly for cash withdrawals. These incur interest when your balance is not repaid in full. In general it's best to avoid using a credit card to withdraw cash abroad, as you would at home.

Despite the potential charges, if you shop around there are some fantastic credit cards to use overseas which don't carry loading charges and have low ATM fees.

One of the crucial advantages of a credit card is that there are a host of cards with 0% on purchases for as much as 12 months. This will allow you to make purchases without being stung by interest charges - but do be wary to make sure you are not being hit with a loading fee, and make sure there are no restrictions on overseas purchases. Also, the majority of credit card providers will supply a free replacement card. So if you misplace your credit card or it is stolen, contact your credit card company and they will send you a replacement. This offers a level of security that simply isn't available with cash.

Post Office Classic – The Post Office Classic card is one of the leading credit cards to use at home and abroad with its typical rate of 14.9%APR. Where this card comes into its own for travellers however, is that it is commission free for use abroad. There is an introductory offer for purchases of 0% p.a. fixed for three months and an introductory offer for balance transfers of 0% p.a. fixed for eight months. In addition, there is a 24hr service available so if you do misplace your card whether at home or abroad you can call the emergency contact number and receive a replacement card for no charge.

Make sure you shop around to find the card with the best rates

The new plastic power

Prepaid cards are the alternative way to pay abroad. The advantages of prepaid cards are numerous as they offer increased safety and, if you're buying online or on the phone and your card is used fraudulently you will be able to get your money back. Furthermore, there is no debt risk as you control the funds you place on the card, and prepaid cards are more accessible – you can get a prepaid card without having to worry about your credit history.

From a travel perspective, there are numerous advantages to prepaid cards. Safety is again a key feature because if you lose your prepaid card, you can contact your provider and they will cancel your lost or stolen card and issue a replacement. Additionally, depending on the provider, you can use a prepaid card worldwide and some providers will even offer 0% foreign exchange fees.

So what's the downside? Unfortunately, with prepaid cards being a relatively new phenomenon the market isn't too competitive just yet (though it is expanding). Consequently, there are still a lot of fees to be wary of such as card application fees, ATM withdrawal fees (which is often higher overseas) and charges for top-ups. However, more prepaid cards are emerging which drives these fees down, and, additionally, there are prepaid cards designed specifically for travel which limit overseas costs such as spending overseas, ATM withdrawals, etc.

It's also important to consider HOW you can top up. Some prepaid cards will only allow you to top up face-to-face, while others give you the chance to top-up face-to-face, on the phone or on the internet. When travelling it is crucial to think about how you can top up your card overseas - face-to-face is instantly ruled out and phone calls are often difficult to make, so look for a prepaid card that allows you top-up over the internet.

Again, take a complete look at the market before opting for the right card for you. Moneysupermarket.com now offers a prepaid card comparison tool, which will compare the best deals instantly.

Card users beware: dynamic currency conversion

Merchants and retailers overseas might offer you something called 'dynamic currency conversion'. This means they charge you in Sterling (or for overseas readers, whatever your currency may be) rather than the currency of the country you're travelling in. This can be convenient and gives you a familiar perspective of the price you're paying - but you will normally be hit with a higher exchange rate for this service so never use it and always CHECK before signing anything or entering your PIN - they might not always ask! So if you see a conversion, make sure you ask to be billed in the local currency.

Moneysupermarket.com recommends...

So with all these alternatives what do we suggest you do? Well generally, we'd say opt for a credit card or travel currency card as your main source of travel money, when travelling abroad. Choose one that doesn't charge loading fees. Currently the Post Office comes out on top in the credit card category with no commission charge for use abroad. If you can't be bothered applying for a new card then do not use them for cash withdrawals unless you really need to. That is why we also suggest taking cash with you for small ticket items - such as buying drinks and for transport. Change your cash before you travel and be sure to shop around to get the best exchange rates. As a back up, for security, you might also consider travellers cheques and prepaid cards in case of emergencies. Good luck and enjoy your trip!

Thursday, May 14, 2009

What is Forex?

FOREX - the foreign exchange market or currency market or Forex is the market where one currency is traded for another. It is one of the largest markets in the world.

Some of the participants in this market are simply seeking to exchange a foreign currency for their own, like multinational corporations which must pay wages and other expenses in different nations than they sell products in. However, a large part of the market is made up of currency traders, who speculate on movements in exchange rates, much like others would speculate on movements of stock prices. Currency traders try to take advantage of even small fluctuations in exchange rates.

In the foreign exchange market there is little or no 'inside information'. Exchange rate fluctuations are usually caused by actual monetary flows as well as anticipations on global macroeconomic conditions. Significant news is released publicly so, at least in theory, everyone in the world receives the same news at the same time.

Currencies are traded against one another. Each pair of currencies thus constitutes an individual product and is traditionally noted XXX/YYY, where YYY is the ISO 4217 international three-letter code of the currency into which the price of one unit of XXX currency is expressed. For instance, EUR/USD is the price of the euro expressed in US dollars, as in 1 euro = 1.2045 dollar.

Unlike stocks and futures exchange, foreign exchange is indeed an interbank, over-the-counter (OTC) market which means there is no single universal exchange for specific currency pair. The foreign exchange market operates 24 hours per day throughout the week between individuals with forex brokers, brokers with banks, and banks with banks. If the European session is ended the Asian session or US session will start, so all world currencies can be continually in trade. Traders can react to news when it breaks, rather than waiting for the market to open, as is the case with most other markets.

Average daily international foreign exchange trading volume was $1.9 trillion in April 2004 according to the BIS study.

Like any market there is a bid/offer spread (difference between buying price and selling price). On major currency crosses, the difference between the price at which a market maker will sell ("ask", or "offer") to a wholesale customer and the price at which the same market-maker will buy ("bid") from the same wholesale customer is minimal, usually only 1 or 2 pips. In the EUR/USD price of 1.4238 a pip would be the '8' at the end. So the bid/ask quote of EUR/USD might be 1.4238/1.4239.

This, of course, does not apply to retail customers. Most individual currency speculators will trade using a broker which will typically have a spread marked up to say 3-20 pips (so in our example 1.4237/1.4239 or 1.423/1.425). The broker will give their clients often huge amounts of margin, thereby facilitating clients spending more money on the bid/ask spread. The brokers are not regulated by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (since they do not sell securities), so they are not bound by the same margin limits as stock brokerages. They do not typically charge margin interest, however since currency trades must be settled in 2 days, they will "resettle" open positions (again collecting the bid/ask spread).

Individual currency speculators can work during the day and trade in the evenings, taking advantage of the market's 24 hours long trading day.

Forex Trading Information

FOREX — the foreign exchange (currency or forex, or FX) market is the and the most liquid financial market with the daily volume of more than $3.2 trillion. Trading on this market involves buying and selling world currencies taking the profit from the exchange rates difference. Forex trading can yield high profits, but it is also very risky. Everyone can participate in Forex trading via the Forex brokers.
 

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